Preventive Medicine Reports

BackgroundDespite their potential to serve as a reduced-harm alternative to combustible tobacco, e-cigarette take-up remains low among older (45+) adult smokers, especially in the U.S. While social media is a known driver of vaping attitudes and behaviors in younger populations, its influence on older smokers is poorly understood. This paper provides the first focused analysis of e-cigarette-related social media exposure in this population, documenting its prevalence, characteristics, and attitudinal correlates. MethodsData come from an opt-in survey of U.S. adults (N = 974) recruited via Prolific, comprising three groups: (i) non-vaping smokers aged 45+ (N = 484), (ii) former-smoking vapers aged 45+ (N = 149), and (iii) any-vaping-status smokers aged 18-35 (N = 341). Descriptive statistics, weighted to U.S. population benchmarks, characterize self-reported exposure to e-cigarette-related content on social media. Logistic regressions estimate associations between exposure and intentions for future e-cigarette use, e-cigarette harm perceptions, and related attitudes. ResultsOlder smokers (35.3%) reported exposure to e-cigarette-related content on social media less frequently than both older vapers (44.0%) and younger smokers (72.0%). For older smokers, e-cigarette health risks were the most frequently reported topic of content viewed, followed by youth vaping and e-cigarette addiction. Among this group, exposure was positively associated with stated intentions for future e-cigarette use. Exposure was not significantly associated with perceived e-cigarette harms for any group. ConclusionsFindings provide suggestive evidence that social media exposure may promote e-cigarette adoption among older smokers. However, the cross-sectional design limits causal inference, and the observed associations may reflect selection bias or reverse causality. If a causal relationship exists, the patterns observed suggest that exposure influences e-cigarette adoption through mechanisms other than updating beliefs about e-cigarette risks. While these results tentatively support the potential of social media as a channel for older-smoker harm reduction, any policy applications must carefully weigh privacy concerns and risks to youth. Rigorous experimental studies are needed to confirm these findings and clarify how social media might be leveraged to improve public health outcomes among older smokers.

Background: People with HIV (PWH) have increased risk for cardiovascular diseases and other age-related comorbidities. These risks can be reduced through moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA), but MVPA can be difficult to sustain over time. Purpose: We tested tailored text messages added to motivational interviewing (MI) to sustain MVPA among PWH. Messages were created based on Two Minds Theory and matched to daily survey responses about exercise barriers. Methods: 118 PWH ages > 50 were initially randomized to high-intensity interval training or continuous moderate-intensity exercise. After 16 weeks, 92 participants were re-randomized to receive either tailored messages plus MI, or educational control messages, for 12 weeks. Both groups completed daily barrier surveys and wore an ActiGraph monitor for 1 week/month. Results: PWH still receiving messages at 28 weeks maintained their MVPA, ending at M = 48.8 minutes per day (SD = 45.8, n = 22/29), compared to a decrease among PWH in the educational-control group, ending at M = 40.7 (SD = 24.6, n = 25/32), p = .01 for the group-by-time interaction. Findings were similar using both actigraphy and self-reported MVPA, and were robust to attrition based on intent-to-treat analysis. PWH in the tailored-messaging group also reported higher exercise self-efficacy and better perceived health over time, relative to those in the educational-control group. Conclusions: An automated tailored-messaging intervention led to sustained MVPA. Tailored messages were superior to non-tailored educational messages, and may help PWH maintain their long-term health. Exploratory analyses suggested these effects were additive to motivational interviewing.

Introduction: Monitoring trends in transitions in the use of electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) and cigarettes among youth is important for understanding the potential public health impacts of these products. Methods: Using a weighted Markov multistate transition model accounting for complex survey design, we estimated transition rates and one-year transition probabilities between never, non-current, ENDS-only, and cigarette use (with or without dual use of ENDS) among 26,744 youth aged 12-17 years who participated in at least two consecutive waves from Waves 2-7.5 (approximately 2015-2023) of the nationally representative Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study. We also estimated transitions stratified by ages 12-14 and 15-17 years. Results. The one-year probability of ENDS-only initiation from never use among youth peaked in 2017-19 (Waves 4-5) at 4.0% (95%CI: 3.6-4.3%) and was higher for 15-17-year-olds at 5.8% (95%CI: 5.2-6.4%) than 12-14-year-olds at 2.2% (95%CI: 1.8-2.6%). In the following years, ENDS-only initiation rates declined and plateaued, with 2.6% (95%CI: 2.3-3.0%) initiation in 2022-23. Cigarette initiation from never use decreased over 2015-23 from 0.8% (95%CI: 0.6-1.0%) in 2015-16 to 0.1% (95%CI: 0.0-0.2%) in 2022-23. There was an increase in the fraction of youth who transitioned from non-current product use to ENDS-only use from 13.7% (95%CI: 7.5-20.0%) in 2015-16 to 35.1% (95%CI: 25.4-44.8%) in 2022-23, paired with a decrease in non-current use to cigarette use from 20.9% (95%CI: 11.8-30.0%) to 6.3% (95%CI: 1.7-10.8%). Transitions from ENDS-only or cigarette use to non-current use remained relatively constant over time at around 25% and 15% per year, respectively. Conclusion. ENDS-only use initiation has changed over time, peaking around 2019 and subsequently decreasing and plateauing, but cessation rates for both ENDS and cigarettes have remained relatively stable. Thus, interruption of tobacco product initiation may be the most effective approach to reducing tobacco product use among youth.

Background Ever since the COVID-19 vaccine became available, vaccinations in adolescents lagged behind adults. Whether adolescent vaccination rates were higher in states with "Minor Consent" policies remains unknown. Methods We accessed adolescent (aged 12-17) county-level vaccine administration data from the CDC (12/2020-05/2023). Our outcomes were COVID-19 vaccination counts for: 1) initial dose, 2) completed series doses, and 3) booster doses. Panel Poisson regression models with state and time random effects, seasonal fixed effects, log-population offsets, and adult vaccination rates were estimated to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRR), testing the association between residing in a state with a Minor Consent policy and COVID-19 vaccine uptake. Results Overall, for the initial dose and complete series, there was no difference in adolescent COVID-19 vaccination between states with or without Minor Consent policies. However, we found that Minor Consent policies were associated with lower COVID-19 booster doses (IRR = 0.582; 95% CI: 0.409, 0.828; p = 0.0026). This association was not found in urban counties (IRR = 0.867; CI = 0.722, 1.043; p = 0.1295), but only in rural counties (IRR = 0.541; CI = 0.401, 0.730; p < 0.0001). Conclusions Minor Consent policies were not associated with higher adolescent COVID-19 vaccination. Rather, we found that Minor Consent policies were associated with lower adolescent vaccination for booster doses in rural counties. Despite minimal evidence of impact, states continue to implement Minor Consent vaccination policies. Future research should investigate not just other vaccines, but also how Minor Consent policies impact parental trust in public health more broadly.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the return on investment (ROI) of a community based Diabetes Self Management Program (DSMP) enhanced with health related social needs (HRSN) screening and referrals, implemented by the New York City (NYC) Department of Health and Mental Hygiene with three community based organizations in highly impacted, under resourced neighborhoods. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cost benefit analysis from a public sector payer perspective was conducted among 171 adults with type 2 diabetes who completed a six week, peer led DSMP delivered by community health workers (CHWs) in English, Spanish, and Korean during 2018 2019. A time driven, activity based costing model captured direct implementation costs, CHW workforce turnover, and administrative overhead. Monetized benefits included avoided diabetes related complications, reductions in self reported emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations, and quality adjusted life year (QALY) gains from improved medication adherence. Univariate sensitivity analyses tested robustness under conservative assumptions. RESULTS: Total program costs were $179,224; monetized benefits totaled $1,824,213, yielding a net benefit of $1,644,989 and an ROI of 918%, approximately $10 returned per $1 invested. Excluding QALY gains, ROI remained 551%. Self reported ED visits declined from 149 to 82 and hospitalizations from 93 to 24 in the six months following intervention. Over 80% of participants reported housing instability; 72% were Medicaid covered and 16% uninsured. Sensitivity analyses confirmed a positive ROI under all conservative scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: A CHW led, community based DSMP integrated with HRSN screening and referrals delivered substantial economic and public health value among adults facing housing instability and structural barriers to care. Findings support inclusion of DSMP as a covered benefit in Medicaid managed care, value based payment arrangements, and housing access initiatives to advance equitable diabetes outcomes.

Background: Lung cancer screening can reduce lung cancer mortality through early detection, but uptake of the NHS Targeted Lung Health Check (TLHC) programme remains low. Behaviourally informed invitation messages have been proposed as a low-cost approach to increase attendance, but evidence of their effectiveness in lung cancer screening is mixed. Few intervention studies used evidence-based behaviour change frameworks, and rarely tailored invitation strategies to empirically identified barriers and enablers. Methods: In an online experiment, 3,274 adults aged 55-74 years and with a history of smoking were randomised to see one of four behaviourally informed invitation messages or a control message. Participants then rated their intention to attend a TLHC appointment, and selected barriers and enablers to attending from a pre-defined list, which were classified according to the Theoretical Domains Framework. Invitation messages were mapped to Behaviour Change Techniques using the Theory and Techniques Tool. Message conditions were compared on intention to attend TLHC using bootstrapped ANOVA followed by pairwise comparisons. Exploratory counterfactual mediation analyses examined the role of fear in intention to attend. Results: Behaviourally informed invitation messages did not meaningfully increase intention to attend TLHC compared with the control message. While a GP-endorsed message showed a small potential benefit relative to the other conditions, this finding was not robust after adjustment for multiple comparisons. Participants most frequently reported barriers related to Emotion (particularly fear), Social Influence, and Knowledge, while Beliefs about Consequences emerged as the primary enabler of attendance. Only around half of reported barriers and enablers were addressed by the invitation messages. Exploratory analyses found that fear was associated with lower intention to attend a TLHC appointment, yet none of the behaviourally informed messages appeared to reduce fear compared to the control message. Conclusions: Improving lung cancer screening uptake will likely require invitation messages that directly address emotional concerns, particularly fear, alongside credible recommendations. These findings highlight the importance of systematically aligning invitation message content with empirically identified behavioural influences when designing scalable interventions to improve lung cancer screening uptake.

Introduction: Economic opportunity is a core pillar of the American Dream but is not distributed equally across communities. Substantial evidence has identified economic opportunity as an independent social determinant of health, but relatively little is known about opportunity's relationship with other socioeconomic characteristics such as income. Here we address this gap in the literature to examine how area-level economic opportunity modifies the income-health gradient. Methods: We used multivariable ordinary least squares models to estimate the association between self-reported health and economic opportunity across household income levels for working age adults (ages 25-64). Our measures of income and health come from the 2010-2019 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplements. Our measure of economic opportunity was drawn from Opportunity Insights and represents the county-averaged national income percentile rank attained in adulthood for individuals born to parents at the 25th percentile of the income distribution. We adjusted for a wide range of individual- and county-level demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. Results: We find that county-level economic opportunity modified the gradient in self-reported health and household income among working-age adults. Effects were particularly pronounced in the lowest income deciles -- an interdecile increase in economic opportunity was associated with closing almost 33% of the gap in health between the lowest and highest income deciles. The results were robust to sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: We show that local area economic opportunity flattens the relationship between household income and health, with lower-income individuals benefitting the most from living in high opportunity areas.

Abstract Background Between 2021 and 2022, primary care obesity management was entering the early diffusion phase of newer anti obesity pharmacotherapy, as GLP1 based treatments began reshaping expectations. However, it was unclear whether primary care clinicians and practice environments were prepared to deliver comprehensive obesity care. (1,2) Methods In 2021 to 2022, we surveyed 276 clinicians from three cohorts: an opt-in national physician panel (Cohort A), clinicians from an integrated health system (Cohort B), and clinicians from a rural accountable care organization (Cohort C). The survey, informed by formative patient and physician focus groups conducted in 2021, assessed current and desired competence, attitudes, confidence, perceived forces for change, and barriers to obesity care. Analyses were descriptive (means and standard deviations). Results Across cohorts, desired competence exceeded current competence. The largest gaps involved recommending behavioral interventions, developing comprehensive care plans, and providing ongoing obesity management support. Attitudes toward obesity care were generally favorable, while confidence that current practices reflected best practice was only moderate. Professional and personal forces for change were moderate, patient driven motivators were moderate to high, whereas social (peer/organizational) reinforcement was weak. Reported barriers extended beyond knowledge deficits to include patient engagement, competing demands, cost, and practical constraints. Conclusions At the threshold of the GLP1 era, primary care clinicians were motivated to improve obesity care but lacked consistent support to deliver comprehensive management. The relative absence of peer and organizational reinforcement suggests that readiness for change reflected not only individual knowledge and attitudes, but also the degree of peer and organizational reinforcement that supports comprehensive obesity care in routine practice.

OBJECTIVE This study investigates the long-term impacts of childhood exposure to voiding cystourethrogram (VCUG), a diagnostic procedure for vesicoureteral reflux. Primary outcomes include long-term health outcomes, mental health disorders, healthcare avoidance, and participation in risky behaviors compared to a control group. METHODS A 9-month retrospective cohort study was conducted with adults who received most of their medical care in the U.S. Respondents self-reported health metrics, behaviors, and outcomes via a 20-minute survey. Respondents were divided into two groups: those who remembered undergoing at least one VCUG in childhood (VCUG group), and those who did not (control group). RESULTS Of 334 respondents, 204 (61%) were in the VCUG group (mean age: 29, 70% female) and 130 (39%) were controls (mean age: 34, 70% female). Notable findings include: 47% of VCUG respondents were diagnosed with depression compared to 27% of controls. 15% of female-born VCUG respondents reported they would never visit a gynecologist compared to 2% of controls. 34% of VCUG respondents smoked regularly compared to 5% of controls, and 11% of VCUG respondents regularly missed work compared to 1% of controls. These findings highlight the need for further research and clinical consideration of VCUG's long-term consequences. CONCLUSIONS This study suggests that the effects of childhood VCUG extend into adulthood. Our findings underscore the need to reassess informed consent protocols and consider full-scale studies to minimize bias.

Importance: Understanding patterns of substance use and environmental exposures to tobacco, cannabis, and electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) among youth is critical for developing targeted prevention strategies, particularly as co-use of tobacco, ENDS, and cannabis becomes more prevalent. Objective: To identify latent classes of tobacco, ENDS, and cannabis use, and environmental exposures to these products among adolescents and emerging adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: Data from the Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) consortium (3rd data release, 2018 to 2022) were analyzed from March 2025 to January 2026. The sample (N=2,786) included early adolescents (ages 11 to 13; n=226, 7.9%), middle adolescents (ages 14 to 17; n=1,248, 43.4%), and late adolescents/emerging adults (ages 18 to 24; n=1,402, 48.7%) from 19 ECHO cohorts. Main Outcomes and Measures: The Youth Risk Behavior Survey, Substance Use module measured experimental and current use of cannabis, ENDS, and tobacco products, as well as daily environmental exposure to tobacco smoke, nicotine aerosols, and cannabis smoke within home and social contexts. A multiple group latent class analysis was used to identify distinct latent classes of substance use and environmental exposure to tobacco smoke, nicotine aerosols, and cannabis smoke and compared class prevalences across early, middle, and late adolescence. Results: Four latent classes were identified, including: No Use/No Exposure (53%), No Use, Polyexposure (10%), Experimental Use/Low Exposure (22%), and Polysubstance Use/High Polyexposure (14%). Cannabis was the most used substance (34% experimental or current use) and the most common source of environmental exposure (20%), followed by ENDS use (26% experimental or current use; 19% environmental exposure) and combustible tobacco (15% use; 19% environmental exposure). The No Use/No Exposure and No Use/Polyexposure classes were primarily made up of early and middle-aged adolescents, whereas the Experimental Use/Low Exposure and Polysubstance Use/High Polyexposure classes primarily consisted of late adolescents and emerging adults. Conclusions: Our study revealed distinct, developmentally patterned groupings of substance use and environmental exposure among US adolescents and emerging adults, highlighting the need for developmentally tailored interventions, messaging, and policies that address both active use and environmental exposure across adolescence.

Introduction The link between Human Papillomavirus (HPV) and cancer is well-established. In Singapore, bivalent HPV vaccines are subsidised for females, but not males. Economic analysis of HPV vaccination has generally assessed the costs to the health system, but this may not be as relevant to individual decision-making as potential lost income. We estimated the impact of bivalent HPV 16/18 vaccination on sick leave, unemployment, and premature mortality as a function of age and sex to understand the broader impact of HPV-related cancers. Methods We developed a population-level economic model to estimate lifetime income losses by diagnosis age, sex and cancer type. We applied sex- and cancer-specific Cox regressions to the Singapore Cancer Registry for annual predicted survival from 1992 to 2022. These were combined with census and employment data to estimate HPV-associated income losses in Singapore. Attributable fractions and vaccine effectiveness data for HPV 16/18 from the literature were used to estimate the effectiveness of bivalent HPV vaccination. Structural sensitivity analysis examined the role of 80% population coverage conferring herd immunity. Results The registry contained 17,294 individuals with an HPV-associated cancer diagnosis. Lost income was greatest for cervical cancer due to its high prevalence, however the losses per diagnosis were highest for oropharyngeal cancer. Bivalent HPV vaccination led to income benefits of $SGD1,397 [$895 to $1,838] in girls and -$62 [-$76 to -$48] in boys. A gender-neutral HPV vaccination of 80% of 15-year-old Singaporeans, conferring herd immunity, would have lifetime income protective benefits of $24.4m [$14.2m, $33.7m] per cohort, a five-fold return on investment. Conclusions In addition to avoiding healthcare costs and lost quality of life, parents should consider vaccination as a means of avoiding potential income losses. A national policy of gender-neutral HPV vaccination could deliver substantial income protection due to both individual vaccine protection and herd immunity.

Background While a mobile lung cancer screening (mLCS) program can mitigate barriers to access, this study conducted a survey study to assess barriers and facilitators to mLCS which could inform the implementation of new mLCS programs or inform modifications to existing programs. Methods Patient eligibility included current age of 50 to 80 and had undergone any cancer screening at Moffitt Cancer Center (MCC) between January 1, 2023 and December 1, 2024. A web-based survey was administered from May 2025 to June 2025 which collected data on health behaviors, barriers, facilitators, screening preferences, and demographics. Descriptive statistics were used to quantify survey responses. Results Among participants who completed the survey, 73.4% reported no concerns about getting screened in a mobile screening unit, 67.9% reported concerned about the cost or if insurance covered mobile lung cancer screening, and 82.4% reported they would be screened if a voucher or insurance would pay for it. For preferences, 54.1% reported no preference for the time of year for a mobile screening event, 59.6% reported they will be willing to wait up to 30 minutes to get screened, and 44% would travel more than 20 minutes to get screened. There were no statistically significant differences in barriers and facilitators when the analyses were stratified by LCS eligibility. Conclusions We found acceptability of mobile lung cancer screening and preferences that are actionable including daytime weekday events, indoor waiting, short waits, proximity to home, clear cost coverage, and streamlined clinician recommendation.

Introduction The aim of this study was to determine the annual age- and sex-specific prevalence of gender-affirming hormone and puberty blocker use among young people with a gender incongruence (GI) diagnosis in Norway. Methods We integrated data from multiple Norwegian national registers to perform a nationwide register-based study of individuals with known sex assigned at birth who were born in the period 1975-2017 and resident in Norway for all or part of the period 2008-2022. We first calculated the annual age- and sex-specific incidence of GI diagnoses in the population. Then, we calculated the annual age- and sex-specific prevalence of androgen, estrogen, and puberty blocker use among individuals with a GI diagnosis who were under age 25 (for androgens and estrogens) or 18 (for puberty blockers) in the year that they collected the prescription. Results The incidence of GI diagnoses has increased among youth in Norway, most notably since 2015 and with the largest increase among teens assigned female at birth. The prevalence of feminizing and masculinizing hormone therapy has increased in this period as well, but mainly among the oldest teens and young adults. The prevalence of puberty suppression is mostly low but has also increased since 2015, especially in recent years among teens assigned male at birth. Conclusion The prevalence of gender-affirming hormone and puberty blocker use has increased among transgender youth in Norway, concurrently with an increase in the incidence of GI diagnoses.

Background: Loneliness is common and deleterious to health. Yet little is known about its population burden and health correlates in the US. We aimed to determine the prevalence of loneliness and characterize its health and social functioning correlates among US adults. Methods: With data from the National Health Interview Study (2024), we used survey-weighted Poisson regression to estimate relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for frequent loneliness by levels of self-reported general health, social/emotional support, social functioning, and healthcare utilization, adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, number of people in household, marital status, and psychological distress. Results: 12 million US adults reported usually or always feeling lonely, which was associated with worse general health and social/emotional support, work and social participation limitations, and healthcare disengagement. Conclusions: Loneliness affects millions of US adults, with substantial health and social functioning burden.

Background: College-attending young adults frequently experience declines in diet quality, physical activity, and psychological well-being during the transition to independent living, contributing to weight gain during the first year of college. Although multicomponent lifestyle interventions have been developed to address these behaviors, the responsiveness to such programs could differ across demographic factors associated with health behaviors, such as sex, race, and ethnicity. Hence, this secondary analysis of large-scale college health trials evaluated whether the effectiveness of such interventions differed by these demographic factors. Methods: Data were combined from two multi-site randomized controlled trials: Young Adults Eating and Active for Health (YEAH) trial and the Get FRUVED trial. Both interventions used theory-based approaches to promote healthy weight management through improvements in diet quality, physical activity, and stress management. Baseline-adjusted linear regression models evaluated the effects of group (intervention, control) and its interactions with sex, race (White, Black, Other), or Hispanic ethnicity. Models were adjusted for baseline outcome values, baseline BMI, study (YEAH vs. FRUVED), and state of data collection. Results: Intervention participants reported higher fruit and vegetable intake, lower processed meat intake, and longer sleep duration compared with controls. However, there was significant heterogeneity in these dietary outcomes by ethnicity, race, and sex. Non-Hispanic participants in the intervention group had higher fruit and vegetable intake compared to controls (p < 0.05). And, within the intervention group, Hispanic females had lower bacon/sausage intake than Hispanic males and non-Hispanic females (p < 0.05). With respect to race, Black participants reported higher total processed meat intake than White and Other race participants (p <0.05). These demographic factors did not moderate the intervention's impact on physical activity, sleep duration, and perceived stress. Overall, the intervention appeared to be the least effective for Hispanic males who exhibited higher body weight and waist circumference compared with Hispanic females and non-Hispanic males (p < 0.05). Conclusions: Multicomponent lifestyle interventions can improve selected dietary outcomes among college students, but effectiveness may differ across demographic subgroups. Culturally and sex-tailored strategies that consider the intersecting influences of sex, race, and ethnicity may enhance intervention effectiveness during the transition to college.

Religion has contributed to societal divides regarding COVID-19 mRNA vaccines. In this study, we conducted a secondary analysis of a survey of U.S. adults (N=4939) focused on how religious affiliations, beliefs, and practices impact attitudes toward genetic and genomic activities, one of which was mRNA vaccines. The dataset included large samples of participants from six religious groups in the U.S. (Black Protestant, Catholic, Evangelical Protestant, Jewish, Mainline Protestant, and Muslim), as well as individuals who were atheist, agnostic, or spiritual. ANCOVA results indicated that Evangelical Protestant participants showed significantly less support for mRNA vaccines than other groups, while atheist participants were the most supportive. Muslim participants had the highest concerns, whereas atheist participants had the lowest. Regression analyses indicated the strongest predictors of support for mRNA vaccines were more spiritual community support for community health, followed by higher acceptance of evolution, more liberal political orientation, less distrust toward the healthcare system, higher frequency of attending religious activities, higher income, lower fundamentalist religious beliefs, and more spiritual community support for liberal reproductive and end of life views. The strongest predictors of concerns about mRNA vaccines were more distrust toward the healthcare system and more conservative political orientation, followed by less spiritual community support for community health, stronger beliefs about God in the body, more fundamentalist religious beliefs, and lower knowledge of genetics. The large sample size, and examination of a broad array of religious variables alongside distrust and political orientation offer new insights. These findings add to the literature on the culture wars surrounding mRNA vaccines, and can perhaps aid in future efforts to build trust and relationships between public health and religious communities.

ObjectivesTo develop and evaluate predictive models for unused outpatient appointments (missed or cancelled) using a large national electronic health record (EHR) repository in the United States. DesignRetrospective observational study using machine learning and statistical modeling. SettingA U.S. national electronic health record repository (Cerner Real World Database) covering healthcare encounters from 2010 to 2025. ParticipantsAdult patients aged [&ge;]18 years with routine outpatient encounters recorded in the database. One outpatient appointment with a known status was randomly selected per patient, resulting in a final analytic sample of 5,699,861 encounters. Primary and Secondary Outcome MeasuresThe primary outcome was whether the index outpatient appointment was attended or unused (missed or cancelled). Model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. MethodsPredictors included patient characteristics (demographics and insurance type), appointment characteristics (day, time, season, and urbanicity), prior cancellation rate, and time gap between the index appointment and the previous visit. We compared the predictive performance of two machine learning models (random forest classifier and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)) with logistic regression. An explainable AI analysis of feature impact was performed on the final XGBoost model. ResultsAmong 5,699,861 outpatient encounters, 3,650,715 (64.0%) were attended and 2,049,146 (36.0%) were unused. XGBoost achieved the best predictive performance on the test dataset (AUC = 0.95), followed by random forest (AUC = 0.92) and logistic regression (AUC = 0.89). Feature impact score analysis revealed highly non-linear associations between predictors and the risk of unused appointments at the individual level. ConclusionsUnused outpatient appointments can be accurately predicted using routinely available EHR data. Integrating predictive models into scheduling workflows may improve healthcare efficiency and optimize appointment management. Article SummaryStrengths and limitations of this study O_LIThis study used one of the largest national electronic health record datasets to develop predictive models for unused outpatient appointments. C_LIO_LIMultiple modeling approaches, including logistic regression and machine learning methods (random forest and XGBoost), were compared to evaluate predictive performance. C_LIO_LIAn explainable artificial intelligence method was applied to quantify feature impact and improve model interpretability. C_LIO_LIThe retrospective design and reliance on routinely collected EHR data may introduce data quality limitations and unmeasured confounding. C_LIO_LIThe database did not distinguish clearly between cancelled appointments and no-shows. C_LI

ABSTRACT: Importance: Rural urban disparities in chronic disease prevalence are well established; however, the extent to which individual level socioeconomic status (SES) contributes to these disparities remains unclear. Objective: To examine the associations of rurality and SES with the prevalence of five most burdensome chronic diseases among adults. Design: We conducted a retrospective cross sectional study of adults across 27 Upper Midwest counties using the Expanded Rochester Epidemiology Project (E REP) medical record data linkage system to evaluate associations between rurality, SES and chronic disease prevalence. Prevalence of clinically diagnosed asthma, diabetes, hypertension, coronary heart disease, and mood disorders was identified from International Classification of Diseases ICD9/10 codes over a five-year period (2014 to 2019). Setting: Population based Participants: Adults over 18 years residing in the 27 E REP counties, excluding those missing rural urban residence status. Exposure: HOUSES index, an individual level measure of SES, served as the primary measure, while rurality based on Rural Urban Commuting Area (RUCA) codes 4-10 was the secondary measure. Main Outcome: Prevalence of the five clinically diagnosed chronic diseases was identified using ICD9/10 codes from 2014 to 2019. Mixed effect logistic regression models were used and adjusted for demographics and general medical examination receipt, to assess rural urban and SES differences for prevalence of each chronic disease. Results: Among 455,802 adults with available HOUSES index, 42.8% lived in rural areas, 53.8% were female and 87.4% were non-Hispanic White. In the unadjusted analysis, rural and urban populations showed comparable asthma and CHD prevalence, while mood disorders, hypertension, and diabetes were more common in urban areas. After adjusting for demographic factors and healthcare utilization, rural urban differences were no longer statistically significant, whereas SES remained strongly associated with all diseases in a dose response manner (e.g., adjusted Odds Ratio for hypertension (ref: HOUSES index Q4): 1.14, 1.27, and 1.42 for HOUSES index Q3, Q2, and Q1, respectively). Conclusions and Relevance: Individual level SES measured by the HOUSES index, was more strongly associated with chronic disease prevalence than rurality, supporting its integration into population health assessment and risk stratification.

Introduction High consumption of ultra-processed foods (UPF) is associated with adverse health outcomes and weight gain. Despite increasing calls for behavioural strategies to reduce UPF intake, no theory-informed intervention targeting UPF reduction has been evaluated in UK adults in alignment with national dietary guidance. We assessed the feasibility, acceptability, and preliminary behavioural and clinical outcomes of a multi-component intervention designed to reduce UPF consumption (and increase physical activity (PA)/minimally processed food (MPF) intake). Methods In this exploratory single-arm pre-post study, adults (N=45) living with overweight or obesity and habitual UPF intake [&ge;]50% of total energy were offered a 6-month behavioural intervention following a controlled feeding phase (UPDATE trial, stage 1). The intervention was developed using the Behaviour Change Wheel and Capability, Opportunity, Motivation-Behaviour (COM-B) model and included one-to-one sessions with a behavioural scientist, tailored print and digital materials, peer-support meetings, and a moderated group chat. Feasibility outcomes included uptake, retention, and intervention fidelity. Secondary outcomes included COM-B constructs, dietary intake, PA, clinical and self-reported outcomes, and qualitative feedback. Results Uptake was 91% (41/45). Retention at 6 months was 68% (28/41), with 83% (34/41) providing follow-up data (intention-to-treat). Median attendance at one-to-one sessions was 86% (interquartile range (IQR): 57-100) with 56% (23/41) attending all sessions (per-protocol). Fidelity to core behaviour change techniques was high. At 6 months, COM-B scores improved for healthy eating (+7%, standard deviation (SD): 8; p<0.001) and physical activity (+5%, SD: 9; p=0.013). UPF intake decreased by 25% of total energy (95% confidence interval (95%CI): -32, -17), with a corresponding increase in minimally processed foods (+23%; 95%CI: 17, 29). Vigorous physical activity increased (+60 min/week, IQR: 0-180), weekday sitting time decreased (-61 min/day, SD: 110), and weight reduced by 3.8 kg (IQR: -8.5-1.0; p=0.001). Findings were similar in per-protocol analyses. Qualitative data indicated perceived improvements in wellbeing and habit formation. Conclusion This theory-informed intervention demonstrated good feasibility and acceptability and was associated with improvements in targeted behavioural mechanisms and health-related outcomes. A randomised controlled pilot trial is warranted to evaluate effectiveness and refine implementation.

While vaccination conflicts have become apparent, physicians' attitudes toward those with differing views remain unclear. Through an online survey of 492 physicians and 5,252 members of the general public in Japan in February 2026, we investigated attitudes toward four vaccines (influenza, measles, HPV, and COVID-19). Intergroup bias was assessed as ingroup minus outgroup attitudes using a feeling thermometer. Multilevel regression examined associations with agreement group and physician status. Intergroup bias was significantly positive in both agreement and disagreement groups across all vaccine types, and was higher in the agreement group. Physicians exhibited higher intergroup bias than the general public. These findings indicate that vaccination conflict is bidirectional: physicians, often viewed as targets of hostility from vaccine-hesitant individuals, themselves exhibit greater intergroup bias toward those with opposing views. Interventions to raise physicians' awareness of their own bias, alongside communication strategies for vaccine-hesitant individuals, are needed.